The Grumpy Economist

John Cochrane's blog

Saturday, May 30, 2015

Betting on Grexit

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A capital flight mechanism I hadn't thought of, from   Hans-Werner Sinn  (HT Marginal revolution) Basically, Greek citizens take out l...
8 comments:
Friday, May 29, 2015

On writing well

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The WSJ notable and quotable picked a lovely snippet from “ On Writing Well ” (1976) by William Zinsser, who died May 12 at age 92.  Clut...
15 comments:
Thursday, May 28, 2015

Small shoes and headroom

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I talked with Kathleen Hays and Michael McKee on  Bloomberg Radio  last week, and they asked (twice!) a question that comes up often in thi...
10 comments:
Wednesday, May 27, 2015

Tucker and Bagehot at Hoover

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I had the pleasure last week of attending the conference on  Central Bank Governance And Oversight Reform  at Hoover, organized by John Tayl...
20 comments:
Tuesday, May 26, 2015

Bailout barometer

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The Richmond Fed updated its "bailout barometer," at left.  Post here  and longer report here . (WSJ coverage here ) I found t...
5 comments:
Friday, May 22, 2015

Homo economicus or homo paleas?

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Or at least that's how Google translate renders "straw man." Dick Thaler is in the news, with a long review of his book in t...
30 comments:
Tuesday, May 19, 2015

Feldstein on inflation

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Martin Feldstein has an interesting Op-Ed in the Wall Street Journal, " Why the U.S. Underestimates Growth ." The basic idea is ...
8 comments:
Saturday, May 9, 2015

McAndrews on negative nominal rates

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Jamie McAndrews of the New York Fed has a  thoughtful and clear speech on negative nominal rates and the benefits of currency. (Some previo...
9 comments:
Monday, April 27, 2015

Unit roots in English and Pictures

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After my unit roots redux post, a few people have asked for a nontechnical explanation of what this is all about. Suppose there is an u...
26 comments:
Friday, April 24, 2015

Unit roots, redux

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Arnold Kling 's askblog and Roger Farmer have a little exchange on GDP and unit roots. My two cents here. I did a lot of work on this...
22 comments:
Wednesday, April 22, 2015

The right to herd

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Just when you thought financial regulation couldn't get more expansive and incoherent, our Justice Department comes in to defend morons...
32 comments:
Monday, April 20, 2015

Consumption-based model and value premium

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The consumption based model is not as bad as you think. (This is a problem set for my online PhD class , and I thought the result would be...
7 comments:
Friday, April 17, 2015

Macro Handbook 2

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Last week I attended the first half of the conference on the Handbook of Macroeconomics Volume 2, organized by John Taylor and Harald Uhlig,...
1 comment:
Thursday, April 16, 2015

Banking at the IRS

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A while ago in two blog posts here and here I suggested many ways other than currency to get a zero interest rate if the government tries ...
16 comments:
Wednesday, April 15, 2015

Gdefault needs not Grexit

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The little grumpy cartoon usually represents me pounding my coffee down in agreement as the WSJ exposes some idiocy. Last week, alas, I spil...
22 comments:
Tuesday, April 14, 2015

Blanchard on Countours of Policy

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Olivier Blanchard, (IMF research director) has a thoughtful blog post, Contours of Macroeconomic Policy in the Future . In part it's bac...
11 comments:
Thursday, April 2, 2015

The sources of stock market fluctuations

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How much do dividend-growth vs. discount-rate shocks account for stock price variations? An under-appreciated point occurred to me while p...
12 comments:
Monday, March 30, 2015

Adam Davidson on Immigration

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Illustration by Andrew Rae, source New York Times Adam Davidson has a very nice New York Times Magazine article, " Debunking the M...
21 comments:
Thursday, March 26, 2015

A New Structure for U. S. Federal Debt

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A new  paper by that title, here . I propose a new structure for U. S. Federal debt. All debt should be perpetual, paying coupons forever ...
66 comments:
Tuesday, March 24, 2015

Jumps and diffusions

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I learned an interesting continuous time trick recently. The context is a note, " The fragile benefits of endowment destruction ...
16 comments:
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About Me and This Blog

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John H. Cochrane
This is a blog of news, views, and commentary, from a humorous free-market point of view. After one too many rants at the dinner table, my kids called me "the grumpy economist," and hence this blog and its title. In real life I'm a Senior Fellow of the Hoover Institution at Stanford. I was formerly a professor at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business. I'm also an adjunct scholar of the Cato Institute. I'm not really grumpy by the way! Any opinions I express are mine alone and do not represent the position of the Hoover Institution or Stanford University.
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