The Grumpy Economist

John Cochrane's blog

Wednesday, April 26, 2017

A progressive VAT

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A VAT (value added tax) with no other tax — no income, corporate, estate, etc. etc. etc. — is pretty much the economists’ ideal. But how do ...
95 comments:
Tuesday, April 25, 2017

Long Run Lira?

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Luigi Zingales inaugurated a series of essays in Il Sole 24 Ore , an Italian newspaper, on whether Italy should stay in or get out of the E...
8 comments:
Monday, April 24, 2017

Inflating our troubles away?

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These are comments I gave on "Inflating away the public debt? An empirical assessment" by Jens Hilscher, Alon Aviv, and Ricardo...
20 comments:
Friday, April 14, 2017

Capital Cause and Effect

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Òscar Jordà, Björn Richter, Moritz Schularick, and Alan Taylor wrote a provocative What has bank capital ever done for us?  at VoxEu, advert...
14 comments:
Wednesday, April 12, 2017

United

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Commentators seem to have noticed a lot of the economics  of the United fiasco: Yes, don't stop auctions at $800. ( WSJ review and outlo...
27 comments:
Wednesday, April 5, 2017

The second original sin of healthcare regulation

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Whenever I advance one or another view of how a relatively free health care and insurance market could work a lot better than the mess we ha...
29 comments:
Tuesday, April 4, 2017

Spikes

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Jon Hartley,  writing in Forbes,  offers a great graph of the overnight Federal Funds rate, This graph  mirrors nicely the graph I post...
8 comments:

Floating rates?

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I was interested to read in the Financial Times , "Iceland weighs plan to peg krona to another currency": Iceland’s finance mini...
4 comments:
Sunday, April 2, 2017

Consumption vs. GDP

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Random Critical Analysis has a really interesting blog post from a while ago, on the difference between consumption and income as measures ...
24 comments:
Saturday, April 1, 2017

The Obamacare Unraveling

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I usually leave Brad DeLong and Paul Krugman alone. If you haven't figured them out by now, you are beyond my help. In particular, Bra...
20 comments:
Thursday, March 30, 2017

More covered interest parity

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Several correspondents were kind enough to send me additional work on covered interest parity. There are two big questions (and a third a...
4 comments:
Friday, March 24, 2017

More good finance articles

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The February Issue of the Journal of Finance made it to the top of my stack, and it has a lot of good articles. The first two especially ca...
7 comments:
Monday, March 20, 2017

Covered Interest Parity

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Here's how covered interest parity works. Think of two ways to invest money, risklessly, for a year. Option 1: buy a one-year CD (concep...
16 comments:
Saturday, March 18, 2017

Trade insight

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Daniel Hannan, a (soon to be unemployed?) UK member of the European Parliament, writes insightfully about trade in the Saturday Wall Street ...
13 comments:
Wednesday, March 15, 2017

The Real Fed Issues

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The media are usually fixated on the angels on heads of pins question, will she or won't she raise rates 0.25%? As such Fed discussion m...
19 comments:
Tuesday, March 14, 2017

Capital Illogic

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More Bank Capital Could Kill the Economy  write Tim Congdon and the usually sensible Steve Hanke in today's Wall Street Journal. I was...
32 comments:
Tuesday, March 7, 2017

Target the spread

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What should the Federal Reserve do, to control inflation, given that nominal interest rate = real interest rate + expected inflation, a...
20 comments:
Friday, March 3, 2017

Russ Roberts on Economic Humility

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Russ Roberts has an excellent essay, What do economists know?  on economic humility. (HT Marginal Revolution ) A journalist once asked me ...
24 comments:
Tuesday, February 21, 2017

Long Run Fed Targets

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What should the Fed's long-run interest rate target be? The traditional view is that the glide path should aim at 4% -- 2% real plus 2% ...
43 comments:
Monday, February 20, 2017

Miserable 21st Century

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Nicholas Eberstadt in Commentary , (HT Marginal Revolution) offers a revealing look at what's wrong with "middle" America...
23 comments:
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About Me and This Blog

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John H. Cochrane
This is a blog of news, views, and commentary, from a humorous free-market point of view. After one too many rants at the dinner table, my kids called me "the grumpy economist," and hence this blog and its title. In real life I'm a Senior Fellow of the Hoover Institution at Stanford. I was formerly a professor at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business. I'm also an adjunct scholar of the Cato Institute. I'm not really grumpy by the way! Any opinions I express are mine alone and do not represent the position of the Hoover Institution or Stanford University.
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